Abstract

This prospective study of 35 multitraumatized intensive care unit patients requiring mechanical ventilation examined the relative utility of four biochemical parameters with a physiological scoring system for predicting lethal outcome. Levels of serum phospholipase A2 (PLA2), serum amyloid A (SAA), polymorphonuclear granulocyte elastase (PMN elastase), and C-reactive protein (CRP) were determined at short intervals during the patient's hospitalization. The first specimen was obtained at the time of admission, and subsequent specimens were drawn at 8 h intervals for the first 48 h and then twice daily until death or convalescence. Calculations of the APACHE II score used the most deranged variables during the first 24 h of admission to assess patient outcome. Additional calculations of the APACHE II score at the time of each blood draw served as an indicator of patient status. The results indicate that during the first 24 h after admission none of the four examined biochemical parameters gives reliable information about the outcome. The APACHE II score provided the earliest indicator of patient outcome (83% sensitivity, 65% specificity). PMN elastase provided useful information first at 32 h (83% sensitivity, 45% specificity) and better at 132 h (86% sensitivity, 86% specificity). CRP was of intermediate use in predicting outcome initially at 72 h (83% sensitivity, 50% specificity) and later at 132 h (86% sensitivity, 93% specificity). PLA2 and SAA were not useful as early indicators of lethal outcome.

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