Abstract

AbstractBackgroundDecreased image self‐similarity of repeated FDG‐PET scans has been suggested to indicate increased risk for disease progression. Here, we compared several self‐similarity measures based on conventionally used voxel‐ and ROI‐based approaches and those based on patterns of cortical metabolism.MethodFrom the MCSA/ADRC, we included 376 cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals and those with a clinical diagnosis of MCI (n = 55) or AD (n = 20) who had two FDG‐PET images within 2‐3 years and clinical follow‐up available. We compared image self‐similarity for three approaches: voxel, ROI and “eigenbrain” (Fig.1). For the voxel approach, FDG‐PET images were normalized to template space, grey matter masked, and intensity normalized to the pons to create standard uptake value ratios (SUVR) for each voxel. From these images, mean SUVR were extracted for 122 ROIs (MCALT‐ADIR122) for the ROI approach. For the “eigenbrain” approach, the SUVR images were transformed to a latent space embedding composed of 253 components (“eigenbrains”) and reflecting metabolism patterns, that was generated in an independent sample of 7008 FDG‐PET images. For each approach, image self‐similarity between baseline and follow‐up values (voxel, ROI or eigenbrain) was determined using three metrics (Pearson correlation, cosine, Euclidean distance). We computed AUC to determine which approach and metric would best discriminate between groups. We used Cox regression analyses to assess whether the metrics could predict disease progression.ResultComparing each distance metric across approaches, AUC was highest in differentiating clinical diagnoses using self‐similarity measures based on eigenbrains, then voxels, then ROIs (e.g., Euclidean distance CU vs AD AUC eigenbrain: 0.86, voxel: 0.75, ROI: 0.71; Fig.1). Across all approaches, Euclidean distance always discriminated best between classes. Eigenbrain‐based Euclidean distance was associated with risk for progression to MCI in CU (HR [95%CI]: 1.25 [1.05, 1.49]), and eigenbrain‐based cosine and Euclidean distances were associated with risk for progression to AD in MCI (1.61 [1.1, 2.34] and 1.53 [1.01, 2.31], respectively), while we found no associations for voxel‐ or ROI‐based distance measures.ConclusionEigenbrain‐based measures outperformed other, more conventional approaches in discriminating clinical diagnoses, and were associated with risk for disease progression. Our results suggest that decreased self‐similarity in metabolism patterns informs on disease stage and prognosis.

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