Comparison of scoring systems for predicting short- and long-term type 2 diabetes remission after bariatric surgery.

Abstract

Our study aimed to compare the short- and particularly long-term type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remission prediction abilities of ABCD, individualised metabolic surgery (IMS), DiaRem2, Ad-DiaRem and DiaBetter scoring systems in Turkish adult type 2 diabetic morbidly obese patients who underwent bariatric surgery. Our study was planned as a retrospective cohort study. A total of 137 patients with T2DM, including 78 sleeve gastrectomy (SG) and 59 Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) patients, were included in the 1st-year evaluation after bariatric surgery, and a total of 115 patients with T2DM, including 64 SG and 51 RYGB patients, were included in the evaluation at the end of the 5th year. In the 1st year after bariatric surgery, area under the ROC curve (AUC) values for diabetes remission scores were 0.863 for Ad-DiaRem, 0.896 for DiaBetter, 0.840 for DiaRem2, 0.727 for ABCD and 0.836 for IMS. At 5 years after bariatric surgery, the AUC values for diabetes remission were 0.834 for Ad-DiaRem, 0.888 for DiaBetter, 0.794 for DiaRem2, 0.730 for ABCD and 0.878 for IMS. According to our study, the DiaBetter score provided a better AUC value than the other scores both in the short and long term but showed similar predictive performance to Ad-DiaRem in the short term and IMS in the long term. We believe that DiaBetter and Ad-DiaRem scores might be more appropriate for short-term assessment and DiaBetter and IMS scores for long-term remission assessment.