Comparison of robust to standardized CT radiomics models to predict overall survival for non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Abstract

Radiomics is a promising tool for the identification of new prognostic biomarkers. Radiomic features can be affected by different scanning protocols, often present in retrospective and prospective clinical data. We compared a computed tomography (CT) radiomics model based on a large but highly heterogeneous multicentric image dataset with robust feature pre-selection to a model based on a smaller but standardized image dataset without pre-selection. Primary tumor radiomics was extracted from pre-treatment CTs of IIIA/N2/IIIB NSCLC patients from a prospective Swiss multicentric randomized trial (npatient =124, ninstitution =14, SAKK 16/00) and a validation dataset (npatient =31, ninstitution =1). Four robustness studies investigating inter-observer delineation variation, motion, convolution kernel, and contrast were conducted to identify robust features using an intraclass correlation coefficient threshold >0.9. Two 12-months overall survival (OS) logistic regression models were trained: (a) on the entire multicentric heterogeneous dataset but with robust feature pre-selection (MCR) and (b) on a smaller standardized subset using all features (STD). Both models were validated on the validation dataset acquired with similar reconstruction parameters as the STD dataset. The model performances were compared using the DeLong test. In total, 113 stable features were identified (nshape =8, nintensity =0, ntexture =7, nwavelet =98). The convolution kernel had the strongest influence on the feature robustness (<20% stable features). The final models of MCR and STD consisted of one and two features respectively. Both features of the STD model were identified as non-robust. MCR did not show performance significantly different from STD on the validation cohort (AUC [95%CI]=0.72 [0.48-0.95] and 0.79 [0.63-0.95], p=0.59). Prognostic OS CT radiomics model for NSCLC based on a heterogeneous multicentric imaging dataset with robust feature pre-selection performed equally well as a model on a standardized dataset.