Abstract

Objective: To assess and compare the diagnostic accuracy of the Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) III score and Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (p-SOFA) for the prediction of mortality in critically ill children.Methodology: This was a cross-validation study conducted at the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) of the National Institute of Child Health Karachi from February 2021 to July 2021. Two hundred eighty-six critically ill children of age one month to 15 years of either gender staying in PICU for more than 24 hours were included. Within 24 hours of admission, the p-SOFA and PRISM III 24 scores were calculated for all eligible children. The outcome of the study was mortality within 30 days of PICU admitted children. Data were analyzed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 23.Results: The median age was 24 months (range: 1-144 months). The 30-day mortality was estimated as 57%. The p-SOFA and PRISM scores were significantly greater in children who did not survive than survivors. The maximum p-SOFA score (area under the curve (AUC)=0.81, 95% CI=0.76-0.86, p=0.001) and PRISM III 24 score (AUC=0.75, 95% CI=0.69-0.81, p=0.001) had good discrimination for 30-day mortality. For the prediction of 30-day mortality at the cut-off value of p-SOFA>2, the sensitivity was 93.87%, specificity was 38.21%, and accuracy was 69.93%. Whereas at the cut-off value of PRISM III 24 score>8, the sensitivity was 55.83%, specificity was 77.24%, and accuracy was 65.03%.Conclusion: The p-SOFA score is a good predictor for 30-day mortality in critically ill children and had better accuracy than the PRISM III 24 score.

Highlights

  • The pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) plays an important role in delivering demanding and required care to seriously ill children

  • The Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (p-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA)) and Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) scores were significantly greater in children who did not survive than survivors

  • Several prognostic scoring systems like Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM and PIM2), Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM, PRISM III), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (p-SOFA), and the Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction (PELOD) score have been developed to predict PICU children's morbidity and death, which can be extremely helpful in treatment planning [1,2,5,6,7,8,9]

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Summary

Introduction

The pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) plays an important role in delivering demanding and required care to seriously ill children. In both developing and developed countries, PICU children have a considerably higher risk of morbidity and death [1,2]. Several prognostic scoring systems like Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM and PIM2), Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM, PRISM III), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (p-SOFA), and the Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction (PELOD) score have been developed to predict PICU children's morbidity and death, which can be extremely helpful in treatment planning [1,2,5,6,7,8,9]. Whereas only a few studies have been conducted for validation of p-SOFA and PRISM III in developing countries like Pakistan. No scoring system is flawless, and each one has its own set of limitations, which is why studies are being conducted to enhance

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