Comparison of CRUSADE and ORBIT bleeding risk scores in prediction of mayor bleeding in pacients with acute coronary syndrome

Abstract

Abstract Introduction Mayor bleeding is the most important complication of antithrombotic treatment in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and is even associated with higher mortality. The CRUSADE scrore has been developed to predict mayor bleeding in ACS and is one of the most used. however, it has a moderate predictive capacity and is relatively complex to calculate at the patient's bedside. On the other hand, different bleeding risk scores have been developed for atrial fibrillation witch have also been evaluated for ACS, for example HAS-BLED. Recently, the NICE guidelines suggest using the Orbit Bleeding score (ORBIT) to assess the risk of bleeding in atrial fibrillation due to its greater predictive capacity. Its usefulness in the context of ACS has been little studied. Purpose The aim of the study is to evaluate the usefulness of the ORBIT to predict major bleeding in patients with ACS compared to the CRUSADE Methods A obserbational retrsopective study was performed. Patients with diagnostico ACS in two coronary units of Argentina were included. All of them, received antocoagulation as a antithrombitic treatment. The CRUSADE and ORBIT scores were calculated with the clinical data on admission. The primary point of major bleeding, defined as a BARC classification 3 or 5, was analyzed. Multivariate analysis was performed by logistic regression. To establish the discrimination capacity of the scores, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was evaluated and the comparison between the curves was carried out using the chi-square area homogeneity test. Results A total of 880 patients were included (68% with non-ST elevation ACS and 32% with ST elevation), the mean of age was 68±11 years and 35% were women. As antithrombotic treatment, 100% received aspirin, 96.3% received P2Y12 receptor inhibitors, 100% received anticoagulation with enoxaparin, and 9.5% received fibrinolytics. The primary end point of major bleeding occurred in 3.4% (n=30). In univariate analysis both CRUSADE and ORBIT were predictors of mayor bleeding, but in multivariate analysis only ORBIT was independent predictor of mayor bleeding. (ORBIT OR: 2.46 (95% CI 1,61 to 3,97), P<0.001. The table shows the univariate and multivariate analysis. The AUC of CRUSADE was 0.68 (95% CI 0.57–0.80) and the ORBIT was 0.80 (95% CI 0.72–0.90). The ORBIT score presented a higher AUC than the CRUSADE (p=0.03). See Figure 1. Conclusion The Orbit score was an independent predictor of major bleeding in patients with ACS, presenting a better predictive capacity than the CRUSADE. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.