Comparison of Actual and Predicted Blue Oak Age Structures

Abstract

There is increasing interest in understanding the role of management on the current lack of blue oak (Quercus douglasii H. & A.) recruitment on California foothill rangelands. Age structure analysis has been suggested to relate when and how much recruitment occurred under past management as an indication of current management effects on recruitment. Previous estimates of blue oak age structure were based on unquantified correlations between age and diameter. Using regression analysis we found that diameter at breast height (DBH) accounted for 42-71% of the variation in tree age at 2 sites. Actual age structures were significantly different than age structures predicted from all regression equations at both sites. We suggest that the use of age structures to infer the role of management on blue oak population dynamics requires direct age measurement.