Abstract

Previous studies have shown that there is a geographic variation in the prevalence of stroke, with a lower prevalence of stroke in Sichuan province. And a stroke transition was found during the period of economic development as well. However, as the center of Southwest China, with a greatly developed economy, whether the geographic variation remained with lower burden of stroke in Sichuan province is unknown. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the secular stroke status in Sichuan province to help explore the potential reasons for geographic disparity. From a cross-sectional study conducted based on eight national disease surveillance points (DSPs) in Sichuan province in 2013, the epidemiologic data of stroke were collected. Data of risk factors were obtained from a cross-sectional study based on 12 national DSPs in Sichuan province in 2013. The results showed that the age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and mortality of stroke in Sichuan province were 338.6/100,000 people [95% confidence interval (CI), 267.8–409.4], 147.1/100,000 person-years (95% CI = 100.6–193.6), and 72.4/100,000 person-years (95% CI = 40.0–104.8), respectively, which were significantly lower than those determined from the contemporary data of China in 2013. The analysis of the risk factors showed that the weights of contribution of the potential risk factors to stroke were in consistency with those published reports from other areas. In conclusion, the disparity of lower stroke burden in Sichuan than the average China remained, although with the great developments in Sichuan province over all those decades. In addition to traditional modifiable factors, we suggest that unknown or intrinsic differences such as genetic factors might play an important role in geographic disparity, which should be investigated in future studies.

Highlights

  • Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and the major cause of adult disability worldwide, bringing a huge burden to our society

  • The rural residents accounted for 52.6% of the participants

  • A total of 90.1% (82 of 91 cases) of the participants with prevalent stroke and 70.0% (28 of 40 cases) of those with incident stroke were hospitalized for stroke within 7 days of stroke onset

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Summary

Introduction

Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and the major cause of adult disability worldwide, bringing a huge burden to our society. According to a recent study, the mean global lifetime risk for stroke from the age of 25 years onward increased from 22.8% in 1990 to 24.9% in 2016, and there was geographic variation, with the highest lifetime risk for stroke being 39.3% in China [1]. Studies have shown that the stroke burden in China has increased considerably over the past 30 years, and stroke was the leading cause of death in China and caused 1.7 million deaths in 2010 [2, 3]. Geographic variation exists in China and worldwide [1, 2, 4]. To further explore the reasons for the geographic disparities and improve the effects of preventive measures, studies about epidemiological features, etiology, and prevention are of great importance

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