Abstract

The stress(Y) – strength(X) model reliability Bayesian estimation which defines life of a component with strength X and stress Y (the component fails if and only if at any time the applied stress is greater than its strength) has been studied, then the reliability; R=P(Y<X), can be considered as a measure of the component performance. In this paper, a Bayesian analysis has been considered for R when the two variables X and Y are independent Weibull random variables with common parameter α in order to study the effect of each of the two different scale parameters β and λ; respectively, using three different [weighted, quadratic and entropy] loss functions under two different prior functions [Gamma and extension of Jeffery] and also an empirical Bayes estimator Using Gamma Prior, for singly type II censored sample. An empirical study has been used to make a comparison between the three estimators of the reliability for stress – strength Weibull model, by mean squared error MSE criteria, taking different sample sizes (small, moderate and large) for the two random variables in eight experiments of different values of their parameters. It has been found that the weighted loss function was the best for small sample size, and the entropy and Quadratic were the best for moderate and large sample sizes under the two prior distributions and for empirical Bayes estimation.

Highlights

  • IntroductionWeibull models are used to describe various types of observed failures of components and phenomena

  • Weibull models are used to describe various types of observed failures of components and phenomena. They are widely used in reliability and survival analysis (1)

  • If X be the strength of a component and Y be the stress applied to the component, reliability; R=P(Y

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Summary

Introduction

Weibull models are used to describe various types of observed failures of components and phenomena They are widely used in reliability and survival analysis (1). The compressive strength data were fitted using two different fitting techniques, ordinary least squares and Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo, to evaluate whether Weibull statistics are an adequate descriptor of the strength distribution. They assess the effect of different microstructural features (volume, size, densification of the walls, and morphology) on Weibull modulus and strength and found that the key microstructural parameter controlling reliability is wall thickness.

Conclusions

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