Abstract
AbstractBackgroundCerebrospinal fluid (CSF) soluble biomarkers are useful at detecting pre‐clinical levels of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) biomarkers of b‐amyloid (Ab) and tau. Disease progression times for participants in longitudinal studies can be estimated for different biomarkers. Utilizing a new technique, this work compared the disease progression times between CSF and PET biomarkers.MethodsFour hundred and ten participants from the Alzheimer’s Dementia Onset and Progression in International Cohorts (ADOPIC) including participants form ACS/OASIS, ADNI and AIBL with three or more data points of longitudinal CSF Ab42 and pTau181 (pTau) and Ab PET were selected. PET results were expressed in Centiloid (CL), (299 cognitively unimpaired, 107 mild cognitively impaired, 4 AD dementia; aged 69±9; 216 females (NAIBL=30, NADNI=252, NOASIS=128). Disease trajectory curves for individual biomarkers and the pTau/Ab42 ratio were created by: 1) Fitting a function to the rates of change of the variable of interest versus its mean value), 2) integrating the fit to obtain longitudinal trajectory curves as a function of disease progression time for each of the variables. The participants’ disease progression time along each curve were estimated. Threshold values for Ab PET and pTau/Ab42 ratios were calculated using a gaussian mixture model. Estimates of age of onset were calculated using the progression times. The participants’ disease progression times for each of the different variables were compared using rank correlations.ResultsRank correlations for the progression times were: r(Ab42, Ab PET) = 0.75, r(pTau, Ab PET)=0.62, and r(pTau/Ab42, Ab PET)=0.83. The estimated ages at which participants’ reach Ab PET and the pTau/Ab42 ratio thresholds are compared in Fig 1, the average age at which were estimated to reach the threshold values were 55 yr for pTau/Ab42 (threshold of 0.021) and 61 yr for Ab PET (threshold of 22 CL).ConclusionsThe high correlation between pTau/Ab42 and Ab PET, indicates that pTau/Ab42 captures the progression of AD pathology better than the individual CSF biomarkers. On average participants’ reach abnormal levels of pTau/Ab42 earlier than Ab PET. Further work is required to understand individual variations in progression times.
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