Abstract

Comparing performances and effectiveness of machine learning classifiers in detecting financial accounting fraud for Turkish SMEs

Highlights

  • According to the Association of Certified Fraud Examiners (ACFE), which is the world’s largest anti-fraud organization, companies lost 5% of their annual revenues through fraud in 2020

  • It is clear that Random Forest and Bagging classifiers, which are known as ensemble methods, have better performance than other classifiers in financial accounting fraud detection

  • Since the role of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the global economy is vital, more researches should focus on financial accounting fraud detection for SMEs

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Summary

Introduction

According to the Association of Certified Fraud Examiners (ACFE), which is the world’s largest anti-fraud organization, companies lost 5% of their annual revenues through fraud in 2020. ACFE stated that the total loss at 2,504 cases was $ 3.6 billion, with an average loss per case of $1.51 million [1] Beyond these losses, financial accounting fraud leads to comprehensive negative consequences on investors, employees, suppliers, and other stakeholders of the enterprise [2]. Previous studies have focused mainly on publicly listed companies or large capitalization companies [5,6,7,8,9,10,11] In comparison to these studies, there have been fewer researchers which have focused on fraud risks for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) [12,13,14].

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