Comparative techno-economic and life cycle analyses of synthetic “drop-in” fuel production from UK wet biomass

Abstract

Renewable synthetic hydrocarbon “drop-in” fuels can help mitigate greenhouse gas emissions from transport, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors like freight and aviation. However, no study has extensively addressed the concerns over biomass availability, cost viability, and CO2 reduction feasibility that are associated with diverse production configurations and feedstocks. Here, we report detailed techno-economics and life cycle greenhouse gas emission assessments of drop-in fuel productions via hydrothermal liquefaction to assess their economic viabilities, CO2 mitigation potentials, and prospects for scale-up specifically within the UK context. Our approach integrates key production factors which include regional availability of main feedstocks (digestates, food waste, biodegradable municipal waste, and sewage sludge), plant configurations (centralised vs decentralised) and hydrogen sources (grey, blue, green). We demonstrated the economic trade-off between economy-of-scale and feedstock transport distances in the centralised/decentralised configurations, and also the economic and emissions trade-offs associated with the use of different hydrogen sources. We find that co-processing of different waste feedstocks is an important strategy to minimise fuel selling price by enabling better economy of scale and feedstock transport, resulting in a fuel selling price of £14.76 – 20.30 per GJ. The corresponding greenhouse gas emissions from the co-processing case vary from 11.4 to 24.9 kgCO2eqperGJ for 2021, based on the consequential life cycle assessment approach. Furthermore, we estimated that the utilisation of key UK wet feedstocks could only provide 4.5 % of current fuel consumptions and reduce emissions by 4.5–5.4 Mt CO2eq/year, which translates to 3.4–4.0 % reduction in the UK’s 2021 transport emissions.