Comparative Historical Demography of Migratory and Nonmigratory Birds from the Caribbean Island of Hispaniola

Abstract

Islands offer unique opportunities for studies of evolution and historical demography. We hypothesized that wintering North American migrant bird species would show genetic evidence of population expansion over recent millennia due to the expansion of their breeding distributions following the retreat of the Laurentide ice sheet. In contrast, we presumed that non-migratory species would exhibit more stable historical demographies. We used mtDNA sequences from 649 individuals of 16 avian species on the Caribbean island of Hispaniola to test this prediction. Mismatch distributions did not differ significantly between migrants and non-migrants. However, neutrality indices indicated population expansion in the migrant species, as well as two non-migratory resident species with extensive distributions. Evidence of population expansion was less consistent in other non-migratory residents. We infer that climate prior to the Last Glacial Maximum significantly reduced effective population sizes of most migratory North American bird populations and some resident Hispaniolan bird populations. Our data further revealed that mismatch statistics were poorly correlated with and less informative than the neutrality test statistics, a consideration for future demographic studies.