Abstract

e15045 Background: Based on improved clinical outcomes in randomized controlled clinical trials (RCT) the FDA has approved 4 drugs in the front line treatment of good to intermediate risk metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (RCC). However, there is little if any comparative data to help choose the most effective drug among these agents. Methods: We performed an indirect comparative effectiveness analysis of the pivotal RCTs (Escudier JCO 2009 and 2010, Rini JCO 2010, Motzer JCO 2009, Sternberg JCO 2010, MRCRCC Lancet 1999, Steineck Acta Oncologica 1990, Pyrhonen JCO 1999, Kriegmair Urology 1995) evaluating outcomes with sunitinib (SU), sorafenib (SO), bevacizumab plus interferon alpha (B+I), pazopanib (P), interferon alone (I) and other controls. Progression-free-survival (PFS) was the main endpoint. Other endpoints included response rate (RR) and overall survival (OS). Estimates, confidence intervals, and p-values from analyses that are stratified by risk factors were used throughout if available. A linear mixed effects model with a random effect for each study and known error variances was fit by restricted maximum likelihood and used to obtain indirect estimates. Results: The indirect estimate of the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval; p-value) for PFS for SU vs. B+I is 0.813 (0.624-1.059; p=0.125); for B+I vs. SO is 0.753 (0.497-1.141; p=0.181); for P vs. B+I is 0.963 (0.612-1.518; p=0.874); for SU vs. SO is 0.613 (0.392-0.956; p=0.0311); for SU vs. P is 0.844 (0.521-1.366; p=0.49; for P vs. SO is 0.726 (0.407-1.295; p=0.278)(Figure 1). SU, P, B+I had better PFS than I alone and than other controls, while SO did not. SU had statistically significantly better RR when compared to P, SO and B+I with HR of 0.254, 0.215 and 0.419 (all p<0.05). OS data was not available to compare all agents and may be confounded by cross-over in the trials. Conclusions: Based on PFS, SU, B+I and P are adequate front line options in the treatment of advanced clear cell RCC. As SU had better RR it may be a preferred option for patients with symptoms or large disease burden. SO should not be considered an optimal front line treatment.

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