Comparative Analysis of Different Heavy Rainstorm Periods Lasting for Two Consecutive Days in the Qinba Region under the Influence of the Southwest Vortex

Abstract

In recent years, heavy rainfall events have occurred frequently in the Qinba region. Forecasting and predicting heavy rainfall in the Qinba region is difficult due to the unique underlying terrain and complicated mechanisms involved. One significant weather system that might bring significant rainfall to the region is the southwest vortex (SWV); however, its different positions, intensities, and interaction with other weather systems might result in precipitation with different intensities and distributions. In this study, ERA-5 reanalysis data, FY-4A satellite data, and conventional observation data were used to examine heavy rainstorms that occurred in the Qinba region in the periods of 3–4 September 2021 (referred to as Stage I) and 4–5 September 2021 (referred to as Stage II), while the SWV was in effect. During Stage I, the northwest vortex (NWV) and SWV generated a mesoscale shear line and mesoscale convective complex (MCC) in the Qinba region. This led to a considerable area of heavy rainfall, with a maximum hourly precipitation of 129 mm and heavy precipitation at 15 stations. During Stage II, a mesoscale convective system (MCS) influenced by the SWV was initiated by a low-level jet, resulting in a localized heavy downpour with a maximum hourly precipitation of 72 mm. Significant topography-forced uplift was found in both Stages I and II in the high-altitude Qinba region. Furthermore, the rainfall was stronger during Stage I due to the secondary circulation that developed in the middle and lower levels. These findings will improve our capability to predict rainstorms and prevent disasters in the Qinba region.