Comparative analysis of advanced deep learning models for predicting evapotranspiration based on meteorological data in bangladesh.

Abstract

Evapotranspiration is one of the crucial elements in water balance equations and plays a pivotal role in the water and energy cycle of an area. An accurate and precise estimation and prediction of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is necessary for regional management of water resources and irrigation scheduling. The challenge of predicting daily evapotranspiration with limited meteorological data in Bangladesh. This study aims to predict daily evapotranspiration using limited meteorological data of Bangladesh by three deep learning (CNN, GRU, LSTM) and one hybrid (CNN-GRU) model. The novel method of hybrid CNN-GRU models, which have not been commonly used for this purpose. The performance of models was evaluated by five accuracy matrices R2, RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and CE and comparison is visualized by radar graphs. The study's novelty lies in the use of hybrid CNN-GRU models to estimate reference evapotranspiration, as this algorithm has not been commonly used for this purpose. In the case of the Rangpur station, the hybrid CNN-GRU algorithm outperformed other models, achieving the best values across various statistical metrics during both the training and testing phases. The highest correlation coefficient values of approximately 0.994 and 0.995. Moreover, during training and testing stages, the hybrid model had the lowest MAE (0.076, 0.068) and RMSE (0.138, 0.106) at the Rangpur station. Additionally, in the Sreemangal station, it can be notable that the statistical parameter RSME found superior results in the hybrid model around 0.225 and 0.174, respectively. In addition, the highest R2 and CE values were noted as 0.986, 0.987 and 0.985, 0.986 during the training and testing phases, respectively. The comparison suggests that the hybrid model will be best suited for prediction with the limited meteorological data. The outcome of the present research signifies the ability of deep learning methods in the prediction of evapotranspiration and the dominant variables affecting the changes the in context of Bangladesh.