Abstract

Cognitive impediments and global warming’s gradual pace, among other factors, have inhibited some people from detecting climate change’s everyday effects. This results in global warming often being perceived as a non-urgent, non-personal, threat that inhibits larger-scale collective action combatting climate change and public will regarding such action. Extreme weather events that global warming causes or exacerbates (e.g., hurricanes, flooding, heat, and droughts), however, are memorable due to their high emotional, social, and economic costs. Sea level rise is an especially salient American issue, given recent heightened storm surges and the large population-segment who live in or near coastal areas with dangerous flooding risks. In this experiment, we show that providing American participants with U.S-specific information about the economic and/or geographic/cartological effects and risks of sea level rise results in (a) an increased acceptance of oceanic rise as a phenomenon that is concerning and caused by global warming, and (b) an increased acceptance, in general, of global warming’s anthropogenic nature. Communicating sea level rise information also led to (c) a general decrease in nationalism and (d) changes in the perceived effectiveness of mitigation strategies for sea level rise–specifically (d₁) a decrease in the perceived effectiveness of constructing sea walls / dikes and (d₂) an increase in the perceived effectiveness of phasing out fossil fuel usage. Overall, we find that communicating striking information about this oceanic by-product of global warming is an effective way to motivate acceptance and engagement with the issue of climate change in a reasonably broad manner. The experimental findings replicate, extend, and dovetail with prior experiments by our laboratory, bringing up to six the number of brief interventions (i.e., of roughly five or fewer minutes) that have been proven to increase people’s science-normative beliefs about global warming. Our laboratory’s website, HowGlobalWarmingWorks.org, offers samples of these materials, which additionally include surprising statistics, textual and video explanations of global warming’s mechanism, and a contrast of Earth’s temperature rise since the 1880’s versus the U.S. stock market rise since then.

Highlights

  • Current sea level acceleration is unprecedented in human history (Woodworth et al, 2009; Rahmstorf, 2010)

  • This paper presents a new experiment showing that clearly communicating the economic and/or inundation effects/risks associated with sea level rise–some global warming by-products– increases the acceptance that oceanic rise is a current, worsening phenomenon that is both concerning and caused by global warming

  • These results suggest that information about economic consequences or damages can be a powerful communication arena for changing minds regarding sea level rise

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Summary

Introduction

Current sea level acceleration is unprecedented in human history (Woodworth et al, 2009; Rahmstorf, 2010). Global sea levels are predicted to increase 0.2–0.6 m beyond 1990 levels by 2095 (Solomon et al, 2007) and alternative predictions vary from 0.5 to several meters before 2100 (Hansen et al, 2006; Schubert et al, 2006; Carlson et al, 2008). U.S flooding frequency from non-storm high tides has doubled in just 30 years, causing human deaths and many billions of dollars in damage, with risks to infrastructure and coastal properties high and soaring (Nicholson-Cole and O’Riordan, 2009; Milman, 2018). Frequent flooding and sea level rise cause many social, legal, and economic challenges, including issues from sanitation to gentrification (Kolbert, 2015). Growing concerns about extreme weather events have already caused reassessment of families’ attachments to residential environments (Bates et al, 2008), altered citizens’ perceived security (McDonald, 2008), elicited adaption and mitigation behaviors among low-lying coastal-area residents (Brody et al, 2008), and reduced energy consumption (Spence et al, 2011)

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