Abstract

<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can influence the North Atlantic European (NAE) region. ENSO tends to be negatively correlated with the North Atlantic Oscillation in winter, while this connection is less clear in boreal spring and summer when the ENSO teleconnection encounters altered background conditions (i.e., a weaker subtropical jet), which can modulate the signal on the way to the NAE region. One such region that modulates the ENSO teleconnection to the NAE region is the tropical North Atlantic (TNA). While several mechanisms exist for this modulation, we center our analysis on the Caribbean region and the Walker cells. In order to isolate the relevant mechanism, we force an idealized atmospheric circulation model with three different seasonally varying sea surface temperature patterns that represent an ENSO event with or without the influence of the TNA, focusing on the decaying phase of ENSO in boreal spring and summer. We find that in boreal spring, the TNA modulates the ENSO teleconnection to the NAE primarily through a propagating Rossby wave train, while in summer, the TNA's influence tends to strengthen the ENSO influence over the NAE sector. Overall, this study offers a deeper understanding of the inter-basin interactions through the Walker cell following an ENSO event and the central role of tropical Atlantic SSTAs in modulating the teleconnection to the NAE region in boreal spring and summer.

Highlights

  • 15 El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dominates interannual variability within the tropics and has global impacts through teleconnections

  • Understanding this interplay is salient as the combined influence over South America and the Caribbean region may be crucial for creating an Rossby wave source (RWS) that can 180 propagate a Rossby wave train that influences the extratropics

  • The multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis allows for an approximate separation of the influences from the respective equatorial basins, which is necessary since El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Tropical North Atlantic (TNA) sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) co-vary to a high degree

Read more

Summary

Introduction

15 El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dominates interannual variability within the tropics and has global impacts through teleconnections. In addition to impacting the tropics, teleconnections can influence extratropical regions, such as the North Atlantic European (NAE) region (Fraedrich and Müller, 1992; Fraedrich, 1994; Brönnimann, 2007). While it is not yet fully understood how ENSO impacts the NAE region, there is great potential for ENSO to create a relevant impact, which in turn may benefit long-range predictability over Europe (Domeisen et al, 2015). 20 teleconnection results in part from several ENSO teleconnections influencing the region simultaneously. These pathways can be separated into several different parts, including signals through different geographical regions as well as different atmospheric levels (Rodríguez-Fonseca et al, 2016).

Objectives
Methods
Results
Conclusion
Full Text
Published version (Free)

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call