Abstract

Prediction models are important to all fields of medicine, and surgeons should understand why prediction models improve the lives of the individuals we treat. This paper, written in conjunction with the American College of Surgeons (ACS), seeks to do just that. Out of necessity this involves the use of statistics which most surgeons have difficulty with. While this difficulty with statistics is understandable, it does not make it acceptable to lower universally accepted standards. The Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program Bariatric Surgical Risk/Benefit Calculator: 1-year weightSurgery for Obesity and Related DiseasesPreviewData-driven tools can be designed to provide patient-personalized estimates of health outcomes. Clinical calculators are commonly built to assess risk, but potential benefits of treatment should be equally considered. The American College of Surgeons Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program (MBSAQIP) sought to create a risk and benefit calculator for adult patients considering primary metabolic and bariatric surgery with multiple prediction features: (1) 30-day risk, (2) 1-year body mass index (BMI) projections, and (3) 1-year co-morbidity remission. Full-Text PDF

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