Abstract

Theoretical source models of underwater explosions are often applied in studying tsunami hazards associated with submarine volcanism; however, their use in numerical codes based on the shallow water equations can neglect the significant dispersion of the generated wavefield. A non-hydrostatic multilayer method is validated against a laboratory-scale experiment of wave generation from instantaneous disturbances and at field-scale submarine explosions at Mono Lake, California, utilising the relevant theoretical models. The numerical method accurately reproduces the range of observed wave characteristics for positive disturbances and suggests a previously unreported relationship of extended initial troughs for negative disturbances at low dispersivity and high nonlinearity parameters. Satisfactory amplitudes and phase velocities within the initial wave group are found using underwater explosion models at Mono Lake. The scheme is then applied to modelling tsunamis generated by volcanic explosions at Lake Taupō, New Zealand, for a magnitude range representing ejecta volumes between 0.04–0.4 km3. Waves reach all shores within 15 minutes with maximum incident crest amplitudes around 4 m at shores near the source. This work shows that the multilayer scheme used is computationally efficient and able to capture a wide range of wave characteristics, including dispersive effects, which is necessary when investigating submarine explosions. This research therefore provides the foundation for future studies involving a rigorous probabilistic hazard assessment to quantify the risks and relative significance of this tsunami source mechanism.

Highlights

  • Submarine eruptions are a poorly understood volcanic hazard that can generate tsunamis

  • Theoretical source models of underwater explosions are often applied in studying tsunami hazards associated with submarine volcanism; their use in numerical codes based on the shallow water equations can neglect the significant dispersion of the generated wavefield

  • The non-hydrostatic multilayer scheme used in this paper has been shown to accurately replicate the collapse of various initial disturbances into a resultant wavefield that exhibits varying degrees of non-linear properties and frequency dispersion

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Summary

Introduction

Submarine eruptions are a poorly understood volcanic hazard that can generate tsunamis. Numerical solutions often either utilise the empirically derived relations without validating their use in a numerical scheme against a suitable explosive physical experiment or test a generation mechanism in the local spatial range only at the cost of neglecting investigation of the generated wave field Often, models such as those 60 based on non-linear shallow water equations are applied to these problems without considering how dispersive the resultant waves may be (Paris and Ulvrová, 2019). Data from one of the last 65 military explosive test series focused on surface wave observations is compared with results produced by implementing the theoretical model’s initial conditions in the numerical method These tests are to establish fitness of the underlying models, which are applied to hypothetical explosive submarine eruptions at Lake Taupo, New Zealand

Underwater eruption model
Depth classification
Volcanic context
Numerical method
Multilayer Scheme
Other Schemes
Wavefield classification
Taupo Scenario
Generated wavefield and shoreline impacts
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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