Abstract
<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> We explore the sensitivity of modelled tropospheric hydroxyl (OH) concentration trends to meteorology and near-term climate forcers (NTCFs), namely methane (CH<sub>4</sub>); nitrogen oxides (NO<em><sub>x</sub></em> = NO<sub>2</sub> + NO); carbon monoxide (CO); non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs); and ozone-depleting substances (ODS) using the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory’s (GFDL) atmospheric chemistry-climate model, Atmospheric Model version 4.1 (AM4.1) driven by emissions inventories developed for the Sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and forced by observed sea surface temperatures and sea ice prepared in support of the CMIP6 Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) simulations. We find that the modelled tropospheric airmass-weighted mean [OH] has increased by ~5 % globally from 1980 to 2014. We find that NO<em><sub>x</sub></em> emissions and CH<sub>4</sub> concentrations dominate the modelled global trend, while CO emissions and meteorology were also important in driving regional trends. Modelled tropospheric NO<sub>2</sub> column trends are largely consistent with those retrieved from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) satellite, but simulated CO column trends generally overestimate those retrieved from the Measurements of Pollution in The Troposphere (MOPITT) satellite, possibly reflecting biases in input anthropogenic emission inventories, especially over China and South Asia.
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