Abstract

Tropopause folds are the key process underlying stratosphere-to-troposphere transport (STT) of ozone, thus, affecting tropospheric ozone levels and variability. In the present study we perform a process-oriented evaluation of Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) reanalysis (CAMSRA) O3 during folding events, over Europe and for the time period from 2003 to 2018. A 3-D labeling algorithm is applied to detect tropopause folds in CAMSRA, while ozonesonde data from WOUDC (World Ozone and Ultraviolet Radiation Data Centre) and aircraft measurements from IAGOS (In-service Aircraft for a Global Observing System) are used for CAMSRA O3 evaluation. The profiles of observed and CAMSRA O3 concentrations indicate that CAMSRA reproduces the observed O3 increases in the troposphere during the examined folding events. Nevertheless, at some of the examined sites, CAMSRA overestimates the observed O3 concentrations, mostly at the upper portion of the observed increases, with a median fractional gross error (FGE) among the examined sites > 0.2 above 400 hPa. The use of a control run without data assimilation, reveals that the aforementioned overestimation of CAMSRA O3 arises from the data assimilation implementation. Overall, although data assimilation assists CAMSRA O3 to follow the observed O3 enhancements in the troposphere during the STT events, it introduces biases in the upper troposphere resulting in no clear quantitative improvement compared to the control run without data assimilation. Less biased assimilated O3 products, with finer vertical resolution in the troposphere, in addition to higher IFS (Integrated Forecasting System) vertical resolution, are expected to provide a better representation of O3 variability during tropopause folds.

Highlights

  • The profiles of observed and CAMSRA O3 concentrations indicate that CAMSRA reproduces the observed O3 increases in the troposphere during the examined folding events

  • Before proceeding with the process-oriented evaluation of CAMSRA O3 during the stratosphere-to-troposphere transport (STT) events, we present a comparison of 140 CAMSRA O3 profiles against observations during all the events (STT events + rest of events), to ensure that CAMSRA reproduces the climatological features of the observed O3 profiles at the examined European sites

  • CAMSRA reproduces the observed O3 increases in the troposphere during the examined folding events, which as indicated by the respective O3s profiles are of stratospheric origin

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Summary

Introduction

Ozone has multiple roles in the Earth’s troposphere, making it one of the most important trace gases. Within the framework of the CAMS service element CAMS_84, Akritidis et al (2018) evaluated the performance of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) in forecasting the observed O3 increases in the troposphere during a deep STT event over Europe. 55 In the present study we perform a process-oriented evaluation of CAMSRA O3 during STT events selected from the CAMSRA tropopause folds database by Akritidis et al (2021), for the European region and over the time period 2003–2018. Ultraviolet Radiation Data Centre) and IAGOS (In-service Aircraft for a Global Observing System) O3 data used for the evaluation; ECMWF IFS system and CAMSRA data; the 3-D labeling algorithm applied for tropopause fold-detection; and the 60 methodological approach for the selection of STT events.

Observational data
CAMS reanalysis
Fold detection in CAMS reanalysis
Selection of STT events
Comparison of observed and CAMSRA climatological O3 profiles
Evaluation of CAMSRA O3 during STT events
The role of chemical data assimilation
Conclusions
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