Abstract

Spatially explicit, fine-grained datasets describing historical urban extents are rarely available prior to the era of operational remote sensing. However, such data are necessary to better understand long-term urbanization and land development processes and for the assessment of coupled nature–human systems (e.g., the dynamics of the wildland–urban interface). Herein, we propose a framework that jointly uses remote-sensing-derived human settlement data (i.e., the Global Human Settlement Layer, GHSL) and scanned, georeferenced historical maps to automatically generate historical urban extents for the early 20th century. By applying unsupervised color space segmentation to the historical maps, spatially constrained to the urban extents derived from the GHSL, our approach generates historical settlement extents for seamless integration with the multitemporal GHSL. We apply our method to study areas in countries across four continents, and evaluate our approach against historical building density estimates from the Historical Settlement Data Compilation for the US (HISDAC-US), and against urban area estimates from the History Database of the Global Environment (HYDE). Our results achieve Area-under-the-Curve values > 0.9 when comparing to HISDAC-US and are largely in agreement with model-based urban areas from the HYDE database, demonstrating that the integration of remote-sensing-derived observations and historical cartographic data sources opens up new, promising avenues for assessing urbanization and long-term land cover change in countries where historical maps are available.

Highlights

  • IntroductionBy 2050, 68% of the human population is projected to live in urban areas [1]

  • The ROC comparative analysis of extracted historical urban/non-urban labels and the historical building densities from the HISDAC-US built-up property records (BUPR) dataset for the US study areas reveal notable effects of spatial constraining and post-processing the areas of the identified target clusters likely to represent urban areas (Figure 6)

  • The agreement between the extracted urban areas and the BUPR estimates is higher in Boston than in Atlanta, probably due to the higher complexity of the information contained in the Atlanta maps

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Summary

Introduction

By 2050, 68% of the human population is projected to live in urban areas [1]. The increasing urbanization and related processes such as rural-urban migration, socio-economic changes, and land consumption are drivers of issues such as transportation congestion and increasing pollution, posing unprecedented challenges for urban planners and policymakers. In order to make our cities more sustainable, efficient, and resilient to increasingly occurring extreme weather events, natural hazards, and climate-change-related phenomena, a thorough understanding of the long-term development trajectories of urban areas is indispensable for urban planners and policymakers. Spatially explicit data on the size and structure of urban areas (and their changes over time) are typically derived from

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