Abstract

We discuss the potential impacts on the CMSSM of future LHC runs and possible e^+ e^- and higher-energy proton–proton colliders, considering searches for supersymmetry via / E_T events, precision electroweak physics, Higgs measurements and dark matter searches. We validate and present estimates of the physics reach for exclusion or discovery of supersymmetry via / E_T searches at the LHC, which should cover the low-mass regions of the CMSSM parameter space favoured in a recent global analysis. As we illustrate with a low-mass benchmark point, a discovery would make possible accurate LHC measurements of sparticle masses using the MT2 variable, which could be combined with cross-section and other measurements to constrain the gluino, squark and stop masses and hence the soft supersymmetry-breaking parameters m_0, m_{1/2} and A_0 of the CMSSM. Slepton measurements at CLIC would enable m_0 and m_{1/2} to be determined with high precision. If supersymmetry is indeed discovered in the low-mass region, precision electroweak and Higgs measurements with a future circular e^+ e^- collider (FCC-ee, also known as TLEP) combined with LHC measurements would provide tests of the CMSSM at the loop level. If supersymmetry is not discovered at the LHC, it is likely to lie somewhere along a focus-point, stop-coannihilation strip or direct-channel A / H resonance funnel. We discuss the prospects for discovering supersymmetry along these strips at a future circular proton–proton collider such as FCC-hh. Illustrative benchmark points on these strips indicate that also in this case FCC-ee could provide tests of the CMSSM at the loop level.

Highlights

  • The first run of the LHC at 7 and 8 TeV has framed the agenda for its future runs, and for possible future colliders

  • Our study is within the minimal supersymmetric extension of the Standard Model with soft supersymmetry-breaking parameters constrained to be universal at a high input scale, the CMSSM [5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19]

  • In order to evaluate the potential of future LHC runs to probe the CMSSM, we extrapolate the sensitivities of gluino, squark and stop searches at LHC Run 1 at 7 and 8 TeV to estimate LHC capabilities with 300 or 3000/fb of data at 13/14 TeV. We find that such data sets should permit the LHC experiments to discover supersymmetry if it has CMSSM parameters within the low-mass region favoured by the global fit [33]

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Summary

Introduction

The first run of the LHC at 7 and 8 TeV has framed the agenda for its future runs, and for possible future colliders. If Nature is described by the CMSSM with parameters in the low-mass region, measurements of the Z and Higgs boson at the proposed high-luminosity circular e+e− collider FCC-ee (TLEP) [65] could be used, in conjunction with the LHC measurements, to test this supersymmetric model at the quantum level, as we illustrate in the specific example of the best-fit low-mass point from [33]. We require that the products of the integrated luminosity with the cross section be the same as for the 8 TeV LHC data The following sections contain discussions of the interplay between the various colliders in these scenarios

LHC measurements of supersymmetry in the optimistic scenario
Gluinos and squarks
Stop measurements
Direct sparticle-pair production
Electroweak precision observables
Precision Higgs observables
Probes of grand unification
V m m 3Z
Impact of LHC searches
Direct sparticle searches at a higher-energy proton–proton collider
Impacts of electroweak and Higgs precision observables
Findings
Summary
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