Cold Ischemia Time, Kidney Donor Profile Index, and Kidney Transplant Outcomes: A Cohort Study

Abstract

An average of 3,280 recovered deceased donor kidneys are discarded annually in the United States. Increased cold ischemia time is associated with an increased rate of organ decline and subsequent discard. Here we examined the effect of prolonged cold ischemia time on kidney transplant outcomes. Retrospective observational study. Recipients of deceased donor kidney transplants in the United States from 2000 to2018. Recipients of deceased donor kidneys were divided based on documented cold ischemia time:≤16, 16-24, 24-32, 32-40, and>40 hours. The incidence of delayed graft function, primary nonfunction, and 10-year death-censored graft survival. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to generate survival curves, and the log rank test was used to compare graft survival. The rate of observed delayed graft function increased with cold ischemia time (20.9%, 28.1%, 32.4%, 37.5%, and 35.8%). Primary nonfunction also showed a similar increase with cold ischemia time (0.6%, 0.9%, 1.3%, 2.1%, and 2.3%), During a median follow-up time of 4.6 years, 37,301 recipients experienced death-censored graft failure. Analysis based on kidney donor profile index (KDPI) demonstrated significant differences in 10-year death-censored graft survival, with a death-censored graft survival in recipients of a kidney with a KDPI<85% of 71.0% (95% CI, 70.5%-71.5%), 70.5% (95% CI, 69.9%-71.0%), 69.6% (95% CI, 68.7%-70.4%), 65.5% (95% CI, 63.7%-67.3%), and 67.2% (95% CI, 64.6%-69.6%), compared to 53.5% (95% CI, 51.1%-55.8%), 50.7% (95% CI, 48.3%-53.1%), 50.3% (95% CI, 46.6%-53.8%), 50.7% (95% CI, 45.1%-56.1%), and 48.3% (95% CI, 40.0%-56.1%), for recipients of a kidney with a KDPI>85%. Heterogeneity of acceptance patterns among transplant centers, presence of confounding variables leading to acceptance of kidneys with prolonged cold ischemia times. Cold ischemia time was associated with an increased risk of delayed graft function and primary nonfunction. However, the effect of increased cold ischemia time is modest and has less impact than the KDPI. Transplant programs should not consider prolonged cold ischemia time alone as a predominant reason to decline an organ, especially with a KDPI<85%.