Abstract

The reprisal of the Taliban in Afghanistan beginning in 2003 forced the occupying military forces into counterinsurgency. The release of the Afghan War Diary allowed scholars and the public to analyze trends of violence in the prosecution of the war against the insurgency; however, the effects of the more than $90 billion in U.S. aid to Afghanistan have gone untested. A substantial portion of that aid has come from the Department of Defense via the Commanders Emergency Relief Program. Including data on CERP projects provides an expanded understanding of how development and relief aid have affected counterinsurgency efforts in Afghanistan and others a rare glimpse of how aid affects the course of a violent conflict. The number of economic development and humanitarian relief projects fosters collaboration of Afghan civilians with Western forces; interestingly however, the actual amount of money spent has a negligible effect.

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