Coinfection and superinfection in RNA virus populations: a selection–mutation model

Abstract

In this paper, we present a general selection–mutation model of evolution on a one-dimensional continuous fitness space. The formulation of our model includes both the classical diffusion approach to mutation process as well as an alternative approach based on an integral operator with a mutation kernel. We show that both approaches produce fundamentally equivalent results. To illustrate the suitability of our model, we focus its analytical study into its application to recent experimental studies of in vitro viral evolution. More specifically, these experiments were designed to test previous theoretical predictions regarding the effects of multiple infection dynamics (i.e., coinfection and superinfection) on the virulence of evolving viral populations. The results of these experiments, however, did not match with previous theory. By contrast, the model we present here helps to understand the underlying viral dynamics on these experiments and makes new testable predictions about the role of parameters such the time between successive infections and the growth rates of resident and invading populations.