Coastal groundwater quality prediction using objective-weighted WQI and machine learning approach.

Abstract

The water quality index (WQI) is a globally accepted guideline to indicate the water quality standard of any groundwater resource. Water levels in existing groundwater sources are declining in several coastal zones. Therefore, for monitoring water quality and improving water management, the prediction and identification of groundwater status by an effective technique with higher accuracy is urgently needed. Therefore, this research aims to find an effective model for WQI prediction by comparing entropy and critic weight-based WQI (ENW-WQI and CRITIC-WQI) with multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (MLP-ANN) technique and also to identify contaminated zones using GIS. Initially, 1000 water sampling datasets with concentrations of several water quality parameters of different coastal blocks of eastern India during 2018 to 2022 are considered for the estimation of ENW-WQI and CRITIC-WQI. It shows 65% and 67% of the samples are excellent to good for drinking. ENW-WQI and CRITIC-WQI-based MLP-ANN models have been established considering different data portioning and hidden neuron numbers. Input variables and appropriate dataset partitioning with hidden neurons for models obtained from correlation and trial-error analysis. Spatial distribution maps are also produced for calculated WQIs using inverse distance weighted interpolation approaches. Three fitting models are obtained: ENW-WQI-MLP-ANN, CRITIC-WQI-MLP-ANN-I and CRITIC-WQI-MLP-ANN-II. CRITIC-WQI-MLP-ANN-II model (data ratio 85:15, network structure 6-12-1, R2 = 0.986, NSE = 0.98, and error rate 0.49%) provides the best accuracy in WQI prediction. The GIS-based WQI maps record several areas related to drinking water quality. The results of this research can help in planning the provision of safe drinking water in the future.