Co-existing intracranial and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis predicts large-artery atherosclerosis stroke recurrence: a single-center prospective study utilizing combined head-and-neck vessel wall imaging.

Abstract

Intracranial and extracranial plaque features on high-resolution vessel wall imaging (HR-VWI) are associated with large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) stroke recurrence. However, most studies have focused on a single vascular bed, and the prognostic value of combined intracranial and extracranial plaque features has yet to be studied. This study aimed to investigate the roles of plaque features, plaque number, and co-existing atherosclerosis in predicting stroke recurrence, utilizing combined head-and-neck HR-VWI. From September 2016 to March 2020, participants with acute LAA ischemic strokes were prospectively enrolled and underwent combined head-and-neck HR-VWI. The participants were followed for stroke recurrence for at least 12months or until a subsequent event occurred. The imaging features at baseline, including conventional and histogram plaque features, plaque number, and co-existing atherosclerosis, were evaluated. Univariable Cox regression analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) method were used for variable screening. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to determine the independent risk factors of stroke recurrence. A total of 97 participants (59 ± 12years, 63 men) were followed for a median of 30.9months, and 21 participants experienced recurrent strokes. Multivariable Cox analysis identified co-existing intracranial high signal on T1-weighted fat-suppressed images (HST1) and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis (HR, 6.12; 95% CI, 2.52-14.82; p = 0.001) as an independent imaging predictor of stroke recurrence. Co-existing intracranial HST1 and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis independently predicted LAA stroke recurrence. Combined head-and-neck HR-VWI is a promising technique for atherosclerosis imaging. This prospective study using combined head-and-neck HR-VWI highlighted the necessity of both intracranial culprit plaque evaluation and multi-vascular bed assessment, adding value to the prediction of stroke recurrence. • This study highlighted the necessity of both intracranial culprit plaque evaluation and multi-vascular bed assessment, adding value to the prediction of stroke recurrence. • This prospective study using combined head-and-neck HR-VWI found co-existing intracranial HST1 and extracranial carotid atherosclerosis to be independent predictors of stroke recurrence.