Cloud statistics over the Indonesian Maritime Continent during the first and second CPEA campaigns

Abstract

Improvement of precipitation prediction requires an understanding of the organization mechanism, such as the initiation and evolution of organized convective systems. This paper is a follow-up of a previous study on cloud propagation over the Indonesian Maritime Continent (IMC). Here, the infrared blackbody brightness temperature data is analyzed. A comprehensive cloud statistics model, including span, speed, duration, all possible directions, and size was estimated by applying the modified tracking reflectivity echoes by correlation (TREC) method to time-latitude-longitude space. Comparisons were made to cloud statistics during the first and second campaigns of Coupling Processes in the Equatorial Atmosphere, hereinafter called CPEA-I and CPEA-II. Although the two campaigns were conducted in different monsoon seasons, the cloud propagation directions during each campaign were similar. The cloud systems moved in most directions, except north and east, and preferred southwestward, westward and northwestward movements. Thus, westward-moving clouds were more dominant than eastward-moving clouds, in agreement with previous studies. This feature is consistent with the prevailing easterly wind in the middle and upper troposphere despite the difference in low-level wind during each campaign. The two campaign periods were different due to the phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). CPEA-I took place over the active MJO phase, with larger-sized clouds than CPEA-II. Thus, the MJO had an enormous impact on cloud size, but such an impact was not significantly observed in the speed, lifetime, span and direction of propagation. In the two campaigns, clouds moved with a speed of 3–30ms−1 and in duration from a few hours to longer than one day. Clouds with long spans and high speeds were generally observed during the strong vertical shear of horizontal winds. In contrast, clouds with short spans and low speeds were found in the more varied environment of the IMC, but were dominant over land, which may have been associated with the diurnal heating cycle. Finally, the present results showed more complex behavior than a previous study in the Bay of Bengal, indicating precipitation mechanisms over the IMC including interactions between large-scale atmospheric phenomena (e.g., monsoon and MJO) with the diurnal precipitation cycles.