Cloud model-based best-worst method for group decision making under uncertainty

Abstract

This study aims to enhance computational and analytical aspects of multi-criteria group decision-making (MCGDM) under uncertainty. For this, we use the best-worst method (BWM) and cloud models to develop a more reliable MCGDM algorithm including three stages: first, collecting data through the BWM reference pairwise comparison; second, extracting interval-weights using the BWM bi-level optimisation models and aggregating different opinions via cloud models; and third, using the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) to prioritise alternatives. We have also investigated the effectiveness of the proposed approach in a real-life problem of online learning platform selection within the context of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown. The experiment results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method over the Bayesian BWM in terms of computational time by 96%. Moreover, the proposed approach outperforms BWM and Bayesian BWM techniques by 33% and 25%, respectively, in terms of conformity to the decision-makers’ intuitive judgments. Our findings also bring important practical implications. Application of the proposed method led to robustness against the number of decision-makers and significantly increased time efficiency in group decision-making. Besides, the computations with the lower inconsistency enhanced the effectiveness of prioritisation in group decision-making.