Clinical significance of risk stratification of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery

Abstract

ObjectiveNowadays, there were few studies reporting the risk stratification of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) and surgery. We aimed to establish a simple risk stratification to help postoperative detection and adjuvant treatment. MethodsWe included 146 patients with locally advanced ESCC who received NCRT followed by esophagectomy. The impacts of clinicopathological factors on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed. The recurrence site, time, and frequency were recorded as well. ResultsThe median follow-up was 53 months. The pathological complete respond (pCR) group demonstrated better 5-year OS and DFS (78.6% and 77.0%) than the non-pCR group (44.8% and 35.2%, all P < 0.005). Multivariate analysis for the non-pCR group revealed perineural invasion (PNI) (HR:2.296, P = 0.013) and ypTNM stage (I/II vs III/IV) (HR:1.972, P = 0.046) were considered as independent unfavorable factors affecting OS, while PNI (HR:1.866, P = 0.045) and lymph vessel invasion (LVI) (HR:3.370, P < 0.001) were considered as independent adverse factors for DFS. Based on clinicopathological factors (including pCR, ypTNM stage, PNI, LVI), patients were divided into the low-risk (pCR), mediate-risk (non-pCR without PNI, LVI, stage III/IV), high-risk (non-pCR with one factor of PNI, LVI or stage III/IV (n = 45)), highest risk (non-pCR with two or more factors of PNI, LVI or stage III/IV) groups. The corresponding 5-year OS rates were 78.6%, 60.4%, 49.6%, 18.6%, respectively (P < 0.005) and 5-year DFS rates were 77.0%, 46.9%, 41.1%, 12.1%, respectively (P < 0.005). Adjuvant chemotherapy may improve survival in high or highest risk groups of patients with low prognostic nutritional index (< 49). ConclusionsA novel risk stratification based on clinicopathological factors may be conducive to postoperative surveillance and guide adjuvant chemotherapy.