Abstract
745 Background: Serum CA125 is a potential biomarker for diagnosis of peritoneal metastasis in gastric cancer. However, its significance of pancreatic cancer (PC) has not been investigated. Therefore, we aimed to clarify association between serum CA125 and ascites burden, and its kinetics during first-line chemotherapy for PC. Methods: This multicenter retrospective study comprised PC patients who received FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in first-line setting between Jan 2014 and Dec 2021. Patient background and treatment outcome was assessed in CA125 elevated and non-elevated group before chemotherapy. The CA125 kinetics after chemotherapy was calculated based on baseline and first measure of CA125. Further, the association between early CA125 change and clinical response during chemotherapy were evaluated based on optimal cut off value calculated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: A total 109 patients from 3 hospitals were assessable. The overall survival (OS) was significantly shorter in elevated group than that in non-elevated group (median, 10.7 vs. 21.3 months, p = 0.0002). The median value of CA125 before chemotherapy was elevated according to ascites burden (Non, 36U/ml; mild, 173U/ml; moderate/severe, 575U/ml; p < 0.0001). CA125 elevation, CA19-9 elevation, poor performance status and poor glasgow prognostic score were independent prognostic factors in multivariate analysis. After chemotherapy, the median first-time measure of CA125 was performed in day 41. Among patients with peritoneal dissemination, the median change of CA125 was correlated with clinical response (CR/PR, -0.55%/day; SD, -0.24%/day; PD, 3.35%/day, p = 0.004). After chemotherapy, first-time measure of CA125 was performed in a median of day 41. According to the ROC curve analysis, the optimal cut-off value of increase in CA125 for progressive disease was 1.56 %/day (specificity 94.1%, sensitivity 80%). The median PFS and OS were 1.4 and 6.6 months in increased group and 3.3 months and 14.0 months in non-increased group, respectively (p = 0.016 and p = 0.028). Conclusions: CA125 is considered a clinically useful marker in unresectable PC treated with first-line chemotherapy because CA125 above the ULN is a poor prognostic factor for OS and an increased CA125 can be an early predictor of progression in patients with peritoneal dissemination.
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