Abstract

Visual scoring of tubular damage has limitations in capturing the full spectrum of structural changes and prognostic potential. We investigate if computationally quantified tubular features can enhance prognostication and reveal spatial relationships with interstitial fibrosis. Deep-learning and image-processing-based segmentations were employed in N=254/266 PAS-WSIs from the NEPTUNE/CureGN datasets (135/153 focal segmental glomerulosclerosis and 119/113 minimal change disease) for: cortex, tubular lumen (TL), epithelium (TE), nuclei (TN), and basement membrane (TBM). N=104 pathomic features were extracted from these segmented tubular substructures and summarized at the patient level using summary statistics. The tubular features were quantified across the biopsy and in manually segmented regions of mature interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA), pre-IFTA and non-IFTA in the NEPTUNE dataset. Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance was used in the NEPTUNE dataset to select features most associated with disease progression and proteinuria remission. Ridge-penalized Cox models evaluated their predictive discrimination compared to clinical/demographic data and visual-assessment. Models were evaluated in the CureGN dataset. N=9 features were predictive of disease progression and/or proteinuria remission. Models with tubular features had high prognostic accuracy in both NEPTUNE and CureGN datasets and increased prognostic accuracy for both outcomes (5.6%-7.7% and 1.6%-4.6% increase for disease progression and proteinuria remission, respectively) compared to conventional parameters alone in the NEPTUNE dataset. TBM thickness/area and TE simplification progressively increased from non- to pre- and mature IFTA. Previously under-recognized, quantifiable, and clinically relevant tubular features in the kidney parenchyma can enhance understanding of mechanisms of disease progression and risk stratification.

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