Abstract

Background: Inflammation-based scoring has been reported to be useful for predicting the recurrence and prognosis of various carcinomas. This study retrospectively investigated the relationship between inflammation-based score and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Methods: Between January 2013 and October 2018, we enrolled 417 consecutive patients with pancreatic tumors who received surgical resections at our hospital. The main outcome was the association between the preoperative inflammation-based score and their accuracy in predicting malignant transformation of IPMN. Results: Seventy six patients were eligible. Pathological findings indicated that 35 patients had low-grade dysplasia, 18 had high-grade dysplasia, and 23 had invasive carcinomas. As the C-reactive protein albumin ratio (CAR) was higher, malignant transformation of IPMNs also increased (p = 0.007). In comparing CARhigh and CARlow using cutoff value, the results using a propensity score analysis showed that the CARhigh group predicted malignant transformation of IPMNs (odds ratio, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.37–12.8; p = 0.01). In the CARhigh group, disease-free survival (DFS) was significantly shorter (p = 0.04). In the worrisome features, the AUC for the accuracy of malignant transformation with CARhigh was 0.84 when combining with the MPD findings. Conclusions: Preoperative CAR could be a predictive marker of malignant transformation of IPMNs.

Highlights

  • We investigated whether the preoperative value of the preoperative inflammationbased scores is useful for predicting malignant transformation of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs)

  • We evaluated IPMN type, number of cysts, tumor location, size of cyst, MPD diameter, and presence of mural nodule (MN) based on available imaging data from endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) and/or computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)

  • In the comparison between the low-grade dysplasia (LGD) group and the high-grade dysplasia (HGD) / invasive carcinoma (INV) group, worrisome features (WF) was significantly higher in the LGD group (p = 0.01), and C-reactive protein albumin ratio (CAR) tended to be higher in the HGD/INV group (p = 0.06)

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Summary

Introduction

According to the guidelines, the indications for surgery are HRS (obstructive jaundice, enhancing MN ≥ 5 mm, main pancreatic duct (MPD) ≥ 10 mm). Inflammation-based scoring has been reported to be useful for predicting the recurrence and prognosis of various carcinomas. This study retrospectively investigated the relationship between inflammation-based score and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). The main outcome was the association between the preoperative inflammation-based score and their accuracy in predicting malignant transformation of IPMN. In comparing CARhigh and CARlow using cutoff value, the results using a propensity score analysis showed that the CARhigh group predicted malignant transformation of IPMNs (odds ratio, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.37–12.8; p = 0.01). The AUC for the accuracy of malignant transformation with CARhigh was 0.84 when combining with the MPD findings

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