Clinical characteristics and death risk factors of severe COVID-19

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the clinical features and death-related risk factors of COVID-19. Methods: We enrolled 891 COVID-19 patients admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jianghan University from December 2019 to February 2020, including 427 men and 464 women. Of the 891 cases, 582 were severe or critical, including 423(73%)severe and 159 (27%) critical cases. We compared the demographics, laboratory findings, clinical characteristics, treatments and prognosis data of the 582 severe patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to explore the risk factors associated with death in COVID-19 patients. Results: The 582 severe patients included 293 males and 289 females, with a median age of 64(range 24 to 106). Sixty-three patients died, including 45 males and 18 females, with a median age of 71(range 37 to 90). The average onset time of the 582 patients was 8 days, of whom 461 (79%) had fever, 358 (62%) dry cough, 274 (47%) fatigue. There were 206 cases with shortness of breath (35%), 155 cases with expectoration (27%), 83 cases with muscle pain or joint pain (14%), 71 cases with diarrhea (12%), and 29 cases with headache (4%). Underlying diseases were present in 267 (46%) patients, most commonly hypertension (194, 33%), followed by diabetes (69, 12%), coronary atherosclerotic heart disease (37, 6%), tumor (18, 3%), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (5, 1%). Chest CT showed bilateral lung involvement in 505 patients (87%). Upon admission, the median lymphocyte count of the 582 patients was 0.8(IQR, 0.6-1.1)×10(9)/L, the median D-dimer was 0.5 (IQR, 0.4- 0.8) mg/L, the median N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide precursor (NT-proBNP) was 433 (IQR, 141- 806) pg/L, and the median creatinine was 70.3 (IQR, 56.9-87.9) μmol/L. The death group had a median lymphocyte count of 0.5 (0.4-0.8)×10(9)/L, D-dimer 1.1 (0.7-10.0)mg/L, N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide precursor 1479(893-5 087) pg/ml, and creatinine 89.9(67.1-125.3) μmol/L. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that increased D-dimer (OR: 1.095, 95% CI: 1.045-1.148, P<0.001), increased NT-proBNP (OR: 4.759, 95% CI: 2.437-9.291, P<0.001), and decreased lymphocyte count (OR: 0.180, 95% CI: 0.059-0.550, P=0.003) were the risk factors of death in COVID-19 patients. Conclusions: The average onset time of severe COVID-19 was 8 days, and the most common symptoms were fever, dry cough and fatigue. Comorbidities such as hypertension were common and mostly accompanied by impaired organ functions on admission. Higher D-dimer, higher NT-proBNP, and lower lymphocyte count were the independent risk factors of death in COVID-19 patients.