Abstract
The article presents the results of the study of the invasive potential of K. Koch on the territory of the Botanical Garden - Institute of the Far Eastern Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (BSI FEB RAS). Since 2015, we have observed the emergence of self-seedlings of M. sieboldii in natural ecosystems. This invasive population has a heterogeneous structure and morphometric parameters. Our results show the dependence of the mass appearance of seedlings on phenological shifts caused by modern climatic changes. We used a method of modeling potential habitats to describe changes in the boundaries of the natural range for the period from the last glacial maximum to the future in the short term (2070). A tendency for expansion of M. siebo ldii range in the northeastern direction, including potential to distribution of this species over the territory of the Russian Far East has been established.
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