Climatic impacts induced by winter wheat irrigation over North China simulated by the nonhydrostatic RegCM4.7

Abstract

Quantification of the impact of winter wheat irrigation on the climate and the occurrence of extreme climatic events over North China is crucial for regional adaptation planning. Previous related studies mainly focused on the impact on surface processes; however, few focused on the effects of extreme events using high-resolution nonhydrostatic regional climate models. Here, the 9-km-resolution nonhydrostatic RegCM4.7 was coupled with a crop irrigation scheme and an updated winter wheat irrigation dataset to better simulate irrigation effects. Two experiments were conducted with and without winter wheat irrigation to isolate the effects of irrigation. Results showed that irrigation simulation reduces the model biases in temperature, precipitation, latent heat flux, soil moisture, sensitive heat flux, and top-layer soil moisture. Moreover, it also reduces the bias and increases the correlation with observations obtained in irrigated areas, especially in summer, indicating better representation of irrigation schemes. Winter wheat irrigation tends to cause substantial cooling of the local surface maximum, minimum, and mean air temperatures (by −0.79, −0.34, and −1.68 °C, respectively) over irrigated areas of North China, with the largest changes observed in relation to maximum temperature. Additionally, precipitation is found to increase during spring and summer, which is strongly related to water vapor transport in the lower levels of the atmosphere. Further analyses indicated that the number of annual mean hot days decrease (−13.9 d), whereas the number of both comfort days (+10.2 d) and rainy days (days with total precipitation greater than 1 mm: +6.6 d) increase over irrigated areas, demonstrating beneficial feedback to human perception and agriculture. Fortunately, although the heat wave risk increases (number of annual mean heat wave days: +5.8 d), the impact is limited to small areas within irrigated region. Additionally, no notable change was found in terms of heavy rainfall events and precipitation intensity, which might be an undereastimation caused by the less water use in model simulation. Although winter wheat irrigation does not have notable impact on the climate of the surrounding region, it is an important factor for the local-scale climate.