Abstract
’s (2012) conclusion that observed climate change is comparableto projections, and in some cases exceeds projections, allows further inferences ifwe can quantify changing climate forcings and compare those with projections.The largest climate forcing is caused by well-mixed long-lived greenhouse gases.Here we illustrate trends of these gases and their climate forcings, and we discussimplications. We focus on quantities that are accurately measured, and we includecomparison with fixed scenarios, which helps reduce common misimpressionsabout how climate forcings are changing.Annual fossil fuel CO
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