Abstract
Little is known regarding consequences of climate change on riparian plant functional types (PFTs) related to leaf traits, with putative domino effects on stream food webs, plausible even if the tipping point of stream-desiccation is not reached. We hypothesized that, as stream food-webs are highly dependent on riparian subsidies, climate change might alter PFTs to the point of weakening terrestrial-aquatic linkages. We conducted a gradient analysis to assess the relative effects of climate, soil and riparian physical characteristics on PFTs. If PFTs differ significantly in leaf traits and climate had major influences on them, we could assume space-for-time interchangeability forward in time to predict leaf traits changes, and consequences for stream food webs under future climate change scenarios. Results indicated a clear distinction in leaf traits among PFTs: woody deciduous plants showed leaf traits associated to high decomposability and nutritional value for invertebrate shredders compared to evergreen woody and giant graminoid groups. We found a prime role of climate predicting changes in abundance and diversity of PFTs: 1) a warming and precipitation-decline scenario, coupled with soil characteristics related to aridification, would have detrimental effects on deciduous plants, while fostering giant graminoids; 2) in a scenario of no precipitation-reduction in wetter areas, warming might promote the expansion of evergreen to the detriment of deciduous plants. In both scenarios the net outcome implies increasing recalcitrance of leaf litter inputs, potentially weakening terrestrial-aquatic linkages in headwater streams.
Highlights
The Earth system is suffering profound alterations due to human-caused global warming [1]
K-means clustering indicated that the best solution was that shaped by 3 species groups— giant graminoids (GG), evergreen (ET+evergreen shrubs (ES)) and deciduous (DT+deciduous shrubs (DS)) species—since a clear elbow was observed at K = 3, and all species were correctly classified, except one deciduous trees (DT) species (Ficus carica L.) that was clustered within GG
Congruent with our first hypothesis, Plant functional types (PFTs) showed general intra group cohesion when classified a posteriori by means of leaf traits related with leaf litter recalcitrance and Dependent variable Giant Gramminoids
Summary
The Earth system is suffering profound alterations due to human-caused global warming [1]. Average precipitation is expected to increase at a global scale, for subtropical and mid-latitude regions future climate change scenarios predict increasing aridity and greater risk of heat waves [2]. Climate-driven changes of riparian plants and food webs in headwater streams permanent headwater streams.
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