Abstract

European beech forests growing on marginal calcareous soils have been proposed to be vulnerable to decreased soil water availability. This could result in a large-scale loss of ecological services and economical value in a changing climate. In order to evaluate the potential consequences of this drought-sensitivity, we investigated potential species range shifts for European beech forests on calcareous soil in the 21st century by statistical species range distribution modelling for present day and projected future climate conditions. We found a dramatic decline by 78% until 2080. Still the physiological or biogeochemical mechanisms underlying the drought sensitivity of European beech are largely unknown. Drought sensitivity of beech is commonly attributed to plant physiological constraints. Furthermore, it has also been proposed that reduced soil water availability could promote nitrogen (N) limitation of European beech due to impaired microbial N cycling in soil, but this hypothesis has not yet been tested. Hence we investigated the influence of simulated climate change (increased temperatures, reduced soil water availability) on soil gross microbial N turnover and plant N uptake in the beech-soil interface of a typical mountainous beech forest stocking on calcareous soil in SW Germany. For this purpose, triple 15N isotope labelling of intact beech seedling-soil-microbe systems was combined with a space-for-time climate change experiment. We found that nitrate was the dominant N source for beech natural regeneration. Reduced soil water content caused a persistent decline of ammonia oxidizing bacteria and therefore, a massive attenuation of gross nitrification rates and nitrate availability in the soil. Consequently, nitrate and total N uptake of beech seedlings were strongly reduced so that impaired growth of beech seedlings was observed already after one year of exposure to simulated climatic change. We conclude that the N cycle in this ecosystem and here specifically nitrification is vulnerable to reduced water availability, which can directly lead to nutritional limitations of beech seedlings. This tight link between reduced water availability, drought stress for nitrifiers, decreased gross nitrification rates and nitrate availability and finally nitrate uptake by beech seedlings could represent the Achilles’ heel for beech under climate change stresses.

Highlights

  • European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) dominates the natural forest vegetation in moist to moderately dry areas of the sub-mountainous altitude range in Central Europe [1]

  • Potential species range distribution modelling for beech on calcareous soil Based on statistical species distribution models driven by climatic predictors [46,47], we computed the distribution range in the form of the realized niche of beech forests on calcareous soil in Europe

  • The statistical species range distribution modelling indicated a dramatic biome shift of European beech on calcareous soils, i.e., a reduction of almost 80% of the realized niche of beech in the year 2080. This approach is based on relationships to climate indicators and is—in contrast to process-based ecosystem models—neither based on physiological nor on biogeochemical processes

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Summary

Introduction

European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) dominates the natural forest vegetation in moist to moderately dry areas of the sub-mountainous altitude range in Central Europe [1]. Two different mechanisms have been proposed to explain the sensitivity of beech to increased temperature and drought [4,5,6]: (1) tree physiological limitations; and (2) nutritional limitations due to decelerated microbial N turnover in soil, due to impaired liberation and provision of bioavailable N by soil microbes. The latter mechanism may be of particular importance in calcareous soils and apply especially for beech seedlings with their restricted root system, because Rendzic Leptosols are poor in bioavailable N [14,15]. Due to the lack of experimental evidence, and a range of severe methodological problems in the quantification of gross N turnover in the plant-soil-microbe system, this mechanism remained a hypothesis

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