Climate Change Impact on Cereal Production and Food Security in Hebron Governorate: An Analytical Approach

Abstract

Cereal crop failures result from climate shocks, which are caused by the climate\'s variables fluctuation and represent a complex system of interrelated elements. This study aims to explore the effects of climate change, especially precipitation and temperature fluctuations on cereal cultivation and food security in the Hebron Governorate. By utilizing a range of statistical methods, including the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, and incorporating qualitative insights from local agricultural experts, this research provides a thorough analysis of climate dynamics and their potential consequences on cereal cultivation and food security. \nThe analysis results uncover a prominent causal connection between these climatic elements and agricultural production, emphasizing the negative impacts of heightened carbon levels, temperature, and unpredictable rainfall events and patterns, on cereal crop yields. Furthermore, the research highlights the intricate interrelationship between non-climatic factors like energy usage, workforce, and financial growth in influencing agricultural performance. Of course, this in turn affects the fragile food security at the Hebron governorate level.