Climate change extreme events and exposure of local communities to water scarcity: a case study of QwaQwa in South Africa

Abstract

ABSTRACT The exposure of local communities to multiple climate change-related events is on the rise across the globe. Despite extensive disaster research on climate change, exposure and vulnerability, few studies have focused on the exposure of local communities to multiple climate change-related events. For over a decade QwaQwa, in South Africa, has experienced persistent water crises which have been attributed to climate change and socio-economic drivers. However, there is a lack of understanding of the risk drivers to provide a solid basis for disaster risk reduction and resilience-building. This paper; therefore, aims to conduct analyses of hazards and exposure as part of risk analysis of climate change-related events; notably drought, flooding, wildfires, and water scarcity in QwaQwa. Quantitative and qualitative data sources included key informant interviews, household surveys, and field observations. The study employed the indicator method to analyse both the hazard and exposure. Qualitative data were anlysed using thematic analysis. On a five-point scale, the findings showed high indices of multiple hazards (3.6) and exposure (3.2). Analysis results were validated at a stakeholders’ workshop. The study recommends efficiency in implementing risk-sensitive land use plans, improving early warning systems, and the use of unmanned aerial vehicles to mitigate disaster risks. Highlights The high multi-hazard index indicates a high incidence of multiple climate change-related events in QwaQwa Water scarcity poses the greatest threat to critical elements in QwaQwa Water scarcity was largely attributed to socio-economic factors more than climate change