Abstract

The study assesses the effects of climate change on police operation in Delta state. To achieve this climate, data were extracted from the archives of the Nigerian Meteorological Agency and the Met Station of the Department of Geography Delta State University Abraka, and police operation data were collected from the archive of the police diary at the state police headquarter. The results showed an evidence of climate change in delta state with a rise of 3oC in temperature, and decadal rainfall increase of 120 mm; 56 mm and 121 mm in three epochs (1975-1984, 1985-1994 and 1995-2014). The first and last decades are wetter than the second epoch. There is a general increase in annual Police and vigilant operations from 1975 to 2014 and their operations are significantly dependent on increase in rainfall and rise in temperature. Thus increase in rainfall and rise in temperature bring corresponding reduction in police and local vigilante operations in the state. It therefore recommended that federal and state government should provide rain coat, safety boot, umbrella, good vehicles to police on duty; and police and vigilante should embark on regular patrol be it raining or sunny day. This is because crimes (breaking and entry, armed robbery etc.) increase when it is raining heavily.

Highlights

  • Climate change threat and vulnerability did transcend one continent to another, but from one country to another, and even amongst communities

  • This prevailing situation foregrounds much of the internal security complex and dynamics that climate change is set to trigger or exacerbate in Nigeria

  • The data used for this study were extracted from the archives of the Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NIMET), Nigeria Police headquarter, diary of the State head of Vigilante in Asaba from 1975-2014

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Summary

Introduction

Climate change threat and vulnerability did transcend one continent to another, but from one country to another, and even amongst communities. The country is bedevilled with high poverty and unemployment rate, wide income and gender inequality, prevalence of diseases (HIV/AIDS and malaria), endemic corruption, and the existence of separatist and militant groups, negative which are human development indices. This prevailing situation foregrounds much of the internal security complex and dynamics that climate change is set to trigger or exacerbate in Nigeria. Given its strong impact on current period crime, weather conditions may be a plausible instrument for identifying the impact of lagged crime on current police activity

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