Climate Assessment Moves Local

Abstract

AbstractState and local governments, businesses, community organizations, and the general public are taking an increasingly significant role in climate impact assessment. Driven by impacts to constituents and customers and threats to human health, essential services, and property values, local organizations are on the front lines of responding to climate change. National and international efforts such as the U.S. National Climate Assessment and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change provide fundamental scientific understanding as well as methods and modeling tools. Subnational climate assessments can build on this foundation and tailor models and analyses to specific local or decision contexts. However, subnational climate assessment and adaptation presents new scientific and research challenges, such as those related to downscaling climate models, simulating extreme events, and understanding local values and institutional practices. As state, local, and sectoral assessments become more common across the nation, there is a critical opportunity to share learnings and identify challenges and pitfalls. Building off a National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine activity focusing exclusively on subnational climate assessment, we consider the methods and results from a variety of examples to synthesize findings about current practices and the future of subnational climate assessment.