Abstract

Classification and regression trees (CART) were evaluated for their potential use in a quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) context. Models were build using the published absorption values for 141 drug-like molecules as response variable and over 1400 molecular descriptors as potential explanatory variables. Both the role of two- and three-dimensional descriptors and their relative importance were evaluated. For the used dataset, CART models showed high descriptive and predictive abilities. The predictive abilities were evaluated based on both cross-validation and an external test set. Application of the variable ranking method to the models showed high importances for the n-octanol/water partition coefficient (log P) and polar surface area (PSA). This shows that CART is capable of selecting the most important descriptors, as known from the literature, for the absorption process in the intestinal tract.

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