Abstract

Ankle injuries in delivery workers (DWs) are often caused by trips, and high recurrence rates of ankle sprains are related to chronic ankle instability (CAI). Heel rise requires joint angles and moments similar to those of the terminal stance phase of walking that the foot supinates. Thus, our study aimed to develop, determine, and compare the predictive performance of statistical machine learning models to classify DWs with and without CAI using ankle kinematics during heel rise. In total, 203 DWs were screened for eligibility. Seven predictors were included in our study (age, work duration, body mass index, calcaneal stance position angle [CSPA] in the initial and terminal positions during heel rise, calcaneal movement during heel rise [CMHR], and plantar flexion angle during heel rise). Six machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, decision tree, AdaBoost, Extreme Gradient boosting machines, random forest, and support vector machine, were trained. The random forest model (area under the curve [AUC], 0.967 [excellent]; F1, 0.889; accuracy, 0.925) confirmed the best predictive performance in the test datasets among the six machine learning models. For Shapley Additive Explanations, old age, low CMHR, high CSPA in the initial position, high PFA, long work duration, low CSPA in the terminal position, and high body mass index were the most important predictors of CAI in the random forest model. Ankle kinematics during heel rise can be considered in the classification of DWs with and without CAI.

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