Abstract

Coronavirus is a potentially fatal disease that normally occurs in mammals and birds. Generally, in humans, the virus spreads through aerial droplets of any type of fluid secreted from the body of an infected person. Coronavirus is a family of viruses that is more lethal than other unpremeditated viruses. In December 2019, a new variant, i.e., a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) developed in Wuhan province, China. Since January 23, 2020, the number of infected individuals has increased rapidly, affecting the health and economies of many countries, including Pakistan. The objective of this research is to provide a system to classify and categorize the COVID-19 outbreak in Pakistan based on the data collected every day from different regions of Pakistan. This research also compares the performance of machine learning classifiers (i.e., Decision Tree (DT), Naive Bayes (NB), Support Vector Machine, and Logistic Regression) on the COVID-19 dataset collected in Pakistan. According to the experimental results, DT and NB classifiers outperformed the other classifiers. In addition, the classified data is categorized by implementing a Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural Network (BRANN) classifier. The results demonstrate that the BRANN classifier outperforms state-of-the-art classifiers.

Highlights

  • The COVID-19 outbreak that appeared in Wuhan, China at the end of December 2019 was initially considered a pneumonia based on etiology

  • The results show that the Naive Bayes (NB) classifier gives 100% accuracy for this dataset

  • The proposed system categorizes the COVID-19 outbreak in Pakistan based on a dataset collected in different regions of Pakistan

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Summary

Introduction

The COVID-19 outbreak that appeared in Wuhan, China at the end of December 2019 was initially considered a pneumonia based on etiology. On January 30, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the COVID-19 outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern [2,3]. This virus has affected people in more than 209 nations around the world. CMC, 2021, vol., no.1 are continually increasing When this virus first started to spread, there were approximately 600 confirmed cases in China. The WHO determined that the most common symptoms of this virus are tiredness, fever, and dry cough [5]. Most people with these symptoms can recover without extraordinary treatment or prescriptions. The infection spreads between individuals in close contact who are exposed to respiratory aerosol droplets that are emitted, primarily when an infected person coughs or sneezes, or shouts, sings, or talks

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