Chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping predict postinduction and intraoperative hypotension: A secondary analysis of a prospective study

Abstract

Study objectivePostinduction and intraoperative hypotension are associated with organ injury in non-cardiac surgery patients. Automated ambulatory blood pressure monitoring can identify chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal blood pressure non-dipping. We tested the hypotheses that: a) chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping are independent risk factors for postinduction and intraoperative hypotension; and b) adding information on chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping improves hypotension prediction models based on readily available preoperative clinical information. DesignPrediction model development based on a secondary analysis of a prospective observational study. SettingGerman university medical center. Patients366 non-cardiac surgery patients who had preoperative automated ambulatory blood pressure monitoring. MeasurementsMultivariable analyses to identify risk factors for postinduction and intraoperative hypotension. Area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC) and likelihood-ratio tests to test whether adding information on chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping improves hypotension prediction models based on readily available preoperative clinical information. Main resultsRisk factors for postinduction hypotension were age in years (odds ratio: 1.06 (95% confidence interval: 1.03 to 1.10), P = 0.001), American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status class (1.85 (1.02 to 3.35), P = 0.043), preoperative use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers (15.19 (1.76 to 131.46), P = 0.013), chronic arterial hypertension (2.54 (1.49 to 4.34), P = 0.001), and nocturnal non-dipping (3.61 (2.09 to 6.23), P < 0.001). The model's AUROC was 0.76 (95% confidence interval: 0.71 to 0.81) with and 0.67 (0.62 to 0.73) without information on chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping (P < 0.001). Risk factors for intraoperative hypotension were male sex (1.73 (1.07 to 2.80), P = 0.025), chronic arterial hypertension (4.35 (2.33 to 8.14), P < 0.001), and nocturnal non-dipping (3.56 (2.07 to 6.11), P < 0.001). The model's AUROC was 0.76 (0.70 to 0.81) with and 0.63 (0.57 to 0.69) without information on chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping (P < 0.001). ConclusionsChronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping are independent risk factors for postinduction and intraoperative hypotension in non-cardiac surgery patients. Adding information on chronic arterial hypertension and nocturnal non-dipping moderately improved hypotension prediction models based on preoperative clinical information.