Abstract

This paper examines the impact of the one-child policy on second birth patterns in China. Based on the data from the 1987 One-per-Hundred Survey findings indicate that the rate of second births decreased to 63% in 1984 but rose from 65% in 1985 to 77% in 1987. Smaller surveys in the provinces of Hebei and Shaanxi showed that the one-child policy had varying effects in urban and rural areas and higher socioeconomic development was associated with the lower rates of second births. It was demonstrated that the sex of the first child and yearly household income contributed significantly to the probability of a second birth. Furthermore an analysis of a 1988 national survey indicated that the marriage boom resulting from a relaxation of marriage restrictions in 1980 exercised a greater influence on rates of second births throughout the period 1980-86.

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